WASHINGTON – Fresh signs emerged Monday that the recession is letting up.
Manufacturing’s slide is slowing. Builders are boosting spending on construction projects – including homes. And consumers aren’t cutting back as much as some had feared.
Three reports gave Wall Street a big lift on the same day that industrial icon General Motors Corp. filed for bankruptcy protection. Investors and economists concentrated instead on the encouraging news about the economy.
The Dow Jones industrial average jumped 221 points, or 2.6 percent. And the Standard & Poor’s 500 index and Nasdaq composite reached their highest levels this year.
“What looked like a flicker of light at the end of the tunnel is now starting to look like a beacon,” said Richard Yamarone, economist at Argus Research. “We are no longer in the deep throes of recession. A recovery may be just a few months away.”
Economists were especially heartened by a report from the Institute for Supply Management that showed U.S. manufacturing activity shrinking at a slower pace in May. The institute’s index came in at 42.8 – its highest since September and up from 40.1 in April. A reading below 50 still indicates activity contracted, but the figure surpassed economists’ forecasts.
Importantly, an index of new orders placed with U.S. factories rose to 51.1 in May. It was the first time this barometer had grown since November 2007, the month before the recession began.
And businesses’ inventories shrank, suggesting supplies will soon need to be replenished. That would boost factory production, aiding overall economic activity.
Another report, from the Commerce Department, said construction spending rose a surprising 0.8 percent in April. Economists had been expecting a 1.2 percent decline.
It marked the second straight month that construction spending has risen. Before that, spending had fallen for five straight months.
A third report showed consumers trimmed spending by 0.1 percent in April, slightly less than the 0.2 percent reduction economists were forecasting.
Still, it marked the second straight month that consumers cut back, a reminder that many shoppers remain wary.
With unemployment rising, consumers are expected to stay fairly cautious in the months ahead.
