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Why the President is wrong

... and, no, not about health care reform.

About -- what else, today? -- his NCAA picks.

The Prez's bracket is out, and he's got Kansas, Kentucky, Kansas State and Villanova in his Final Four. And he's got Kansas winning it all.

Far be it from me to argue with the leader of the free world, but -- oh, who am I kidding. It's exactly like me to argue with the leader of the free world. Just ask my wife.

So, Mr. President. Lemme tell you why your bracket's dog chow, except for your national champ pick, Kansas:

1. Kentucky is not going to make the Final Four. It's a team built around three freshmen, two of whom (Marcus Cousins and John Wall) are already getting ready for the NBA draft in their heads. Can't see them having the proper focus.

2. Can someone explain the love for Villanova all of a sudden? The Wildcats have lost five of their last seven games, and coach Jay Wright has benched his best player, Scottie Reynolds, and Corey Fisher for the NCAA opener against Robert Morris, calling it a "minor teaching point." Doesn't sound like a together team to me just now.

I like Baylor to knock 'em out.

3. Kansas State could go down to Pitt. And the Wildcats could definitely go down to Syracuse. I think people are discounting Syracuse way too much because they've lost their center. That zone still historically gives teams who haven't seen it trouble in the tournament, and the Orange still have lots of athletes to man it.

And just to give everyone else an equal opportunity to ridicule my Final Four picks, I've got Duke, Kansas, West Virginia and Syracuse. Have at it.

Ben Smith's blog.