TOKYO – North Korean leader Kim Jong Il will probably use an upcoming meeting of party elites to introduce his heir apparent, initiating the Stalinist dictatorships second hereditary power transfer, U.S. and South Korean experts and officials say.
Kims youngest son, Kim Jong Eun, is widely expected to be given at least one high-level leadership position – the first step to claiming absolute power on par with his fathers.
Experts differ on whether the younger Kims rise will be publicly heralded. But in any case, moves made in coming days could lend the first real insight into Kim Jong Ils strategy for into maintaining his familys power as his country deals with a frail economy, severe food shortages and international pressure to denuclearize.
North Korea has not announced dates for the party delegates meeting in Pyongyang, a rare forum reserved for landmark decision making.
Good Friends, a Seoul-based humanitarian group with ties to North Korea, said it would begin Saturday. Other experts predicted it would open Monday. North Korea celebrates the anniversary of its founding Thursday.
Observers say that the elder Kim, who suffered a stroke in 2008, is rushing the power transfer because of health problems. Kim Jong Eun is thought to be in his mid- or late 20s.
This conference would be an opportunity to lay the foundation of the post-Kim Jong Il era, said Kim Heung-kyu, a professor at Sungshin Womens University in Seoul.
North Korea held similar delegates conferences in 1958 and 1966. Such meetings provide latitude for juggling the hierarchy, revising the constitution and adjusting the balance of power between the military and Workers Party.
Many North Korea analysts in Seoul and Washington predict that Kim Jong Il will attempt either to rebuild power in the Workers Party, which has lost influence to the military and seen its membership decline, or dilute the power of the military.
Either way, Kim wants a system where elites on both sides check each other.