Political Notebook


The independent factor

Almost immediately after the final results were in, and Republican Paula Hughes had lost, Allen County GOP Chairman Steve Shine noted the independent candidate had taken more votes than Mayor Tom Henry’s victory margin.

A recent poll by the Mike Downs Center for Indiana Politics, however, shows that Haley Ahrendt might have cost Henry more votes than Hughes. The poll, conducted just a few days before the election, showed half of Ahrendt’s supporters identified themselves as independents and a quarter said they were Democrats. Less than 20 percent said they were Republicans.

While the poll was done before the election, and not of actual voters, it shows that a Hughes victory would have been unlikely had Ahrendt not been in the race. Hughes would have had to win more than 90 percent of Ahrendt’s votes to win the race, an amount exceedingly unlikely to have been acquired.