Two years ago, Hollywood talent agent Ari Emanuel made a remarkable statement about the future of media. He said he could see a time when certain movies premiered on Facebook instead of in theaters.
After a decade of war with Silicon Valley, big chunks of Hollywoods establishment are thinking about technology differently. Executives are increasingly looking at deals with firms such as Facebook, Google, Apple and Amazon as a way to line their pockets. As we spend more time online, these companies are becoming TV networks for the digital age. They are hugely valuable advertising and distribution engines for Hollywood content.
The initial public offering documents that Facebook filed reveal just how big an advertising and distribution juggernaut it has become. The company said that last year it made $1 billion on $3.7 billion in revenue, making it more than twice as profitable as Google was when it went public in 2004 and almost as profitable as the CBS television network is today.
Facebooks reach turned out to be even bigger than previously thought – it has 845 million monthly active users (more than a third of the Internet), 483 million daily active users and more than 37 million fan pages. Most of the top-ranked fan pages are for celebrities such as Lady Gaga, but there are companies on the list, too. The firm with the largest number of Facebook fans, after Facebook, YouTube and Coca-Cola? Disney – with nearly 32 million.
Facebook has $1 billion in cash now. It will have at least $6 billion when its IPO is complete later this year. And its not hard to imagine where some of that money is headed: content deals with Hollywood. Almost from the day he started Facebook, founder and chief executive Mark Zuckerberg has talked about it as a next-generation media company. Its no accident that two of his six board members are media executives.
Already, Zuckerberg has signed up Netflix, Hulu and the music service Spotify as content-sharing partners. Meanwhile, studios have been cozying up to the social networking site for more than a year.
Facebook has launched a movie-rental application with Warner Bros., debuting last year with The Dark Knight. Paramount has made its Jackass films available for rental on the site. And last month, Lionsgate made its 2011 movie Abduction available to rent on Facebook.
But thats probably just a glimpse of Zuckerbergs ambitions. Even for a company with Facebooks massive distribution, true content deals with Hollywood dont get done without hundreds of millions of dollars changing hands. As a private company, Facebook didnt have that kind of money. As a public company, it will have it in torrents. Competitors Google and Apple are already hard at work on TV offerings. Expect Facebook TV – or whatever Zuckerberg ends up calling it – sometime soon as well.
Its ironic that Facebooks IPO announcement came only a couple of weeks after the flare-up of hostilities surrounding Hollywoods online piracy bills. Pundits and even a few Hollywood executives have been openly worrying about a return to the bad old days of a decade ago, when the recording industry sued Napster out of existence and when executives at Disney and Intel screamed at each other at a 2002 congressional hearing.
It is misplaced hand-wringing. Silicon Valley, with its social networks and mobile devices, has enabled consumers to profitably access entertainment content in places that media moguls could once only dream about – in line, on the bus, in the elevator, in the back of a car and even in the restroom, as well as in a movie theater and in front of the living room TV.
The worlds eyeballs are increasingly online. It is where Hollywood – or anyone who wants their content to be widely seen – will go as well.