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Polls give Obama 10 percentage-point lead
President Obama has an edge over presumptive Republican challenger Romney in national polls.
He led the challenger 51 percent to 41 percent in a July 16-26 poll of registered voters conducted by the Pew Research Center in Washington. The survey has an error margin of plus or minus 3.2 percentage points.
He also leads in some key swing states. A Quinnipiac University/New York Times/CBS News poll in Ohio and Florida showed Obama with a six-percentage-point advantage in each state and 11 points in Pennsylvania.
The poll of likely voters conducted July 24-30 indicated that a torrent of television advertising appears to be resonating in Obama’s quest to define Romney before many voters are very familiar with him. The polls found that more likely voters say Romney’s experience was too focused on making profits at Boston-based Bain Capital rather than the kind of experience that would help create jobs.
The polling found that just 4 percent of voters in the battleground states surveyed say they are undecided, and about one in 10 who have picked a candidate say they might change their minds.

Some Democrats see no coattails

– Democratic Rep. Larry Kissell’s district is within 10 miles of the Charlotte, N.C., arena where the Democratic National Convention will start Sept. 4.

Kissell doesn’t plan to attend.

The lawmaker is among a growing number of Democrats in both chambers of Congress who are keeping their distance from President Obama as they seek re-election this year in Republican territory.

Other Democrats in states or districts where the president’s poll numbers are low are emphasizing that they aren’t in lock step with him on such policy areas as energy, taxation and the environment.

Kissell’s North Carolina district, as redrawn by the Republican-controlled state legislature, has “an oversupply of those people who are just unalterably opposed to Obama,” said Ferrel Guillory, director of the Program on Public Life at the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill.

That means Kissell has “got to make the race much more of a local race than a national race” to win, Guillory said.

Democrats’ efforts to retain control of the Senate and gain seats in the House this November may hinge on their success in races in Republican-friendly states including North Carolina, North Dakota, Missouri and West Virginia, where Republicans have been working to hurt their rivals by tying them to Obama’s policies.

“The president simply isn’t going to be popular everywhere and, to some extent, that’s true under any administration,” said John Pitney, a political scientist at Claremont McKenna College in Claremont, Calif. “The interests of the president may diverge from the interests of his party’s members of Congress.”

These Democratic candidates, for the most part, are keeping a polite distance from Obama by emphasizing differences on policy, skipping the nominating convention or not endorsing his bid for a second term.

Missouri Sen. Claire McCaskill’s decision not to attend the Democratic convention is notable because she was one of the first senators to publicly support Obama in his 2008 primary race against then-Sen. Hillary Clinton, D-N.Y.

McCaskill was among several Democratic lawmakers who didn’t back Obama’s endorsement of same-sex marriage May 9. McCaskill said Thursday she doesn’t shy away from expressing views that differ from Obama’s.

“I can be stubbornly independent and hard to get along with about things I care about, and I am proud of that,” she said.

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