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Week 11

Indianapolis at New England

Time: 4:25 p.m. (CBS)

Records: Colts (6-3), Patriots (6-3)

The skinny: This game was flexed so the nation could see Andrew Luck and the surprising Colts, who are 5-1 since Bruce Arians took over as temporary coach. But the Patriots average an NFL-best 33.2 points per game.

Prediction: Patriots, 34-27

Chicago at San Francisco

Time: 8:30 p.m. Monday (ESPN)

Records: Bears (7-2), 49ers (6-2-1)

The skinny: The Bears have only one chance with quarterback Jay Cutler, who had a concussion against the Texans, ruled out of the game. And that is if Alex Smith, who had a concussion against the Rams, does not play for the 49ers.

Prediction: 49ers, 13-10

Cleveland at Dallas

Time: 1 p.m. (CBS)

Records: Browns (2-7), Cowboys (4-5)

The skinny: The Cowboys find themselves back in the NFC East race after beating the Eagles and back-to-back losses by the Giants. The Browns are still in the race, too ... for the No. 1 overall draft choice.

Prediction: Cowboys, 24-13

Green Bay at Detroit

Time: 1 p.m. (Fox)

Records: Packers (6-3), Lions (4-5)

The skinny: This is the game that will shape which direction the Lions will go. But, if it is to go up, they have to stop Aaron Rodgers, the first QB in NFL history to have 25 or more TD passes after nine games in back-to-back seasons.

Prediction: Packers, 41-37

Cincinnati at Kansas City

Time: 1 p.m.

Records: Bengals (4-5), Chiefs (1-8)

The skinny: There is a reason why the Bengals have never had back-to-back winning seasons under Marvin Lewis. It’s the same reason why they have trouble handling big victories such as the one against the Giants. The Upset Special.

Prediction: Chiefs, 15-13

Jacksonville at Houston

Time: 1 p.m.

Records: Jaguars (1-8), Texans (8-1)

The skinny: By beating the Bears in Chicago, the Texans won one of those gritty road games that can define a season. The Jaguars? They have already defined their season, and it isn’t a pretty sight.

Prediction: Texans, 34-3

New York at St. Louis

Time: 1 p.m.

Records: Jets (3-6), Rams (3-5-1)

The skinny: The Jets have lost three in a row and five of the past six, making Antonio Cromartie’s playoff guarantee look as foolish as Rex Ryan’s Super Bowl prediction two years ago. Word of advice to Jets: Leave the bold predictions to Joe Namath.

Prediction: Rams, 23-20

Philadelphia at Washington

Time: 1 p.m.

Records: Eagles (3-6), Redskins (3-6)

The skinny: The Eagles should be better served playing on road than at home, where they have to listen to the wrath of their own fans. They are a little more patient in Washington, even though the Redskins have lost three in a row.

Prediction: Redskins, 21-20

Arizona at Atlanta

Time: 1 p.m.

Records: Cardinals (4-5), Falcons (8-1)

The skinny: The Cardinals went from being one of the NFL’s biggest surprises to one of the biggest puzzles after losing five in a row. This, though, shouldn’t be hard to solve, not after the Falcons finally suffered their first defeat.

Prediction: Falcons, 27-13

Tampa Bay at Carolina

Time: 1 p.m.

Records: Buccaneers (5-4), Panthers (2-7)

The skinny: Notice to the Panthers’ defense: Josh Freeman and the Bucs’ offense are on a roll. He has 13 TDs and 115.9 passer rating in the past five games. And the offense has scored 28 or more points in past five.

Prediction: Buccaneers, 31-21

New Orleans at Oakland

Time: 4:05 p.m.

Records: Saints (4-5), Raiders (3-6)

The skinny: Good thing the Falcons have such a big lead in the NFC South. The Saints have won four of their past five games and averaged 31.2 points in those victories. The Raiders? They have allowed 97 points in their past two games.

Prediction: Saints, 37-24

San Diego at Denver

Time: 4:25 p.m.

Records: Chargers (4-5), Broncos (6-3)

The skinny: The Chargers have won their past three games in Denver, but that was before Peyton Manning. He has not thrown an interception at home and began Broncos’ four-game win streak with comeback from 24-0 deficit in San Diego.

Prediction: Broncos, 30-20

Baltimore at Pittsburgh

Time: 8:20 p.m. (NBC)

Records: Ravens (7-2), Steelers (6-3)

The skinny: It has not been an easy task trying to beat the Ravens in the regular season with Ben Roethlisberger, let alone without him. Despite their problems, especially on defense, the Ravens keep finding ways to win.

Prediction: Ravens 16-14

Byes: Minnesota, N.Y. Giants, Seattle, Tennessee

– Gerry DuLac, Pittsburgh Post-Gazette Record: 9-5 last week; 87-59 season (Does not include Thursday games)