WASHINGTON – The political fight that took the nation to the verge of defaulting on its debts last year is back, overshadowed by fiscal cliff disputes but with consequences far graver than looming tax hikes and steep spending cuts.
The government is on track to hit its $16.4 trillion borrowing limit this month. And while the Treasury can keep the government functioning through early next year, President Obama is bluntly insisting that any deal on the fiscal cliff include an end to brinkmanship on the debt ceiling.
Obama is demanding tax rate hikes on the rich, using the prospect of a worse alternative and the momentum of his re-election as leverage. But the debt ceiling gives Republicans a powerful weapon to extract further deficit reduction, too, contributing to the current stalemate.
Both sides have warned that plunging off the fiscal cliff – letting income taxes increase for all and kicking in deep cuts in defense and other programs – could rattle the fragile economic recovery.
But failure to raise the borrowing cap would leave the government unable to pay its debts. That would roil the stock market, result in a likely downgrade in the nation’s credit rating, increase interest rates and threaten another financial crisis. Last year’s fight prompted Standard & Poor’s to reduce the AAA rating for government bonds.
That risk gives Republicans the weight to counter Obama in fiscal cliff talks and demand that the president agree to greater spending reductions or savings from programs such as Medicare, Medicaid and even Social Security.
House Speaker John Boehner, R-Ohio, says any increase in the debt limit must be matched by greater amounts of deficit reduction.
Speaking to corporate executives Wednesday, Obama set down a hard line.
If Congress in any way suggests that they’re going to tie negotiations to debt ceiling votes and take us to the brink of default once again as part of a budget negotiation – which, by the way, we had never done in our history until we did it last year – I will not play that game, the president said.
Because we’ve got to break that habit before it starts, he said.
To that end, Obama is asking to make permanent a mechanism used to implement last year’s $2.2 trillion debt limit hike. That mechanism, designed by Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell, R-Ky., requires the president to notify Congress of the need to lift the debt ceiling and request an increase in the borrowing cap. The request would not require congressional approval, but Congress could pass a resolution to disapprove the increase, and the president could veto any such move.
McConnell called Obama’s proposal a power grab that has no support here.
It gives the president of the United States unilateral power to raise the limit on the federal credit card, the so-called debt ceiling, whenever he wants, for as much as he wants, McConnell said.
Last year, Republicans agreed to the debt ceiling scheme only after the White House agreed to steep cuts in spending that virtually matched the increase in the debt ceiling, a deal Obama is not offering to make this time.
Some constitutional experts believe Obama could sidestep a battle with Congress by raising the debt ceiling by executive order. Many legal scholars cite Section 4 of the 14th Amendment as an argument against congressional approval of debt ceiling increases.
It states, The validity of the public debt of the United States, authorized by law, including debts incurred for payment of pensions and bounties for services in suppressing insurrection or rebellion, shall not be questioned.
But the White House has rejected that option, both in the midst of debt ceiling discussions last year and again this week.