WASHINGTON – Nearly a week into President Obamas campaign to convince Congress that airstrikes against Syria are necessary, he has achieved little headway against a wall of skepticism on Capitol Hill.
The presidents challenge is made more difficult by the fact that the two parties are splintered on the issue – and that lawmakers say they are hearing virtually no support for an attack from their constituents at home.
Rep. Justin Amash, R-Mich., a libertarian who has taken on GOP hawks on National Security Agency surveillance and now Syria, tweeted Thursday: If youre voting yes on military action in #Syria, might as well start cleaning out your office. Unprecedented level of public opposition.
Democrats are torn between their fear of crippling a Democratic president with a no vote and their anxiety that they might be repeating the mistakes of recent history in the Middle East and Afghanistan.
For Republicans, the debate over striking Syria has reopened a long-standing schism between the GOPs internationalist and non-interventionist wings at a moment when the party is struggling to reinvent itself.
The vote will be a test of some of the partys possible 2016 presidential contenders, who until now have had the luxury of standing on the sidelines and criticizing Obama on foreign policy.
Given the dissent within their ranks, even the most influential of those who back the operation are showing little enthusiasm for pressuring their colleagues.
In the House – where prospects for approval appear dimmer than they do in the Senate – Speaker John Boehner, R-Ohio, and Majority Leader Eric Cantor, R-Va., have said they favor strikes but will not pressure other members on what they consider a conscience vote.
On the Democratic side, Im not exactly leading the charge, House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi told Time magazine. But Im supporting the president.
On all sides, uncertainty remains over what would be achieved by attacking Syria over its alleged use of chemical weapons.
Lawmakers remain unconvinced that limited strikes proposed by Obama would shift the balance in a bloody civil war that appears tipped in favor of President Bashar al-Assads government – or whether that is even what Obama desires.
To justify action now against his regime and risk further escalating the conflict, the president must clearly identify what our national security interests are, said Rep. Ileana Ros-Lehtinen, R-Fla., who heads a House Foreign Affairs Committee panel on the Middle East.
What are our objectives in limited and targeted airstrikes? What does degradation look like? And what will we do if the initial action does not yield the intended result? she asked Wednesday at a hearing with administration officials.
The Senate Foreign Relations Committee on Wednesday approved an authorization resolution on a narrow 10-7 vote. More telling than the total were the fault lines the vote revealed: Those opposed included five Republicans and two of the panels most liberal Democrats, Tom Udall of New Mexico and Christopher Murphy of Connecticut.
Meanwhile, several Republican establishment figures – John McCain and Jeff Flake of Arizona, as well as Bob Corker of Tennessee – sided with the Democratic majority. That put them on the opposite side from two potential 2016 presidential contenders, Rand Paul of Kentucky and Marco Rubio of Florida.
Both parties are deeply divided but for different reasons.
After the Cold War ended, Democrats coalesced around the use of American power to prevent genocide and other gross violations of human rights, William Galston, a senior fellow at the Brookings Institution who was an adviser to President Bill Clinton, wrote this week.
But for many of todays Democrats, Iraq serves as the moral equivalent of Vietnam and evokes comparable doubts about the use of American power.
Democrats say Assads alleged use of chemical weapons should not go unaddressed, but they also are haunted by the war in Iraq.
In 2002, Congress gave President George W. Bush broad authority to invade. The resolution, based on faulty intelligence that Iraq had stockpiled weapons of mass destruction, opened the door for an unpopular conflict that lasted nearly nine years.
For my constituents, its not overshadowing – its at the core of their concerns, misgivings, doubts, said Rep. George Miller, D-Calif. It gnaws right at you.
Miller, who was elected to the House in 1974 as the Vietnam War was ending, said the skepticism in his district is as intense as Ive ever seen it.
For Republicans, the Syria debate has exacerbated decades-old rifts between those who favor more international involvement, such as McCain, and a rising libertarian, anti-interventionist wing led by Paul.
In recent days, it appears that more Republicans, particularly those with aspirations, are siding with Paul on Syria, even if they are simultaneously seeking out some sort of middle ground between the sharp-tongued senator from Kentucky and the hawkish McCain.
Several Republican strategists described the Syria vote as a dilemma for most GOP lawmakers who are figuring out a coherent modern-day foreign policy for the party.